动态系统可靠性仿真的五种蒙特卡罗方法

FIVE MONTE CARLO METHODS FOR SIMULATION OF DYNAMIC RELIABILITY SYSTEM

  • 摘要: 在动态可靠性系统仿真的统一描述基础上给出直接仿真方法、拟仿真方法、强迫转换方法、直接统计估计方法、加权统计估计方法的具体算法,并用这五种方法计算Con/k/n:F系统的不可靠度,结果表明加权统计估计蒙特卡罗方法的效率最高.

     

    Abstract: Based on integrated description of simulation of dynamic reliability system, algorithms of direct simulation, analog simulation, forced transmit, direct statistical extimation, weighted statistical estimation are given.Reliability of a non markov Con/k/n:F system is calculated by these five Monte Carlo methods.Results show that weighted statistical estimation method has highest efficiency.

     

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