基于贝叶斯物理信息神经网络的相场法水力压裂不确定性量化分析

Quantitative Analysis of Uncertainty in Hydraulic Fracturing by Phase Field Method Based on Bayesian Physical Information Neural Network

  • 摘要: 基于相场法断裂模型,提出一种贝叶斯物理信息神经网络(B–PINN)预测方法,以量化储层不确定性对水力裂缝扩展的影响。通过在损失函数中嵌入物理约束,实现力学场、渗流场和相场之间的相互耦合。借助贝叶斯推断机制,捕捉模型输出的不确定性分布,进而为压裂方案设计提供风险评估量化指标。研究表明:与基于Comsol实现的相场法水力压裂有限元解相比,采用B–PINN求解时,单缝及双缝扩展场景下的相场预测误差分别控制在8.7%和12.3%以内,且在GPU加速下计算效率提升了约50%。本研究为复杂地质条件下水力压裂设计的鲁棒性优化提供兼具理论深度与工程实用性的解决方案。

     

    Abstract: This paper presents a Bayesian physics-informed neural network (B–PINN) prediction framework, developed based on the phase field fracture model, to quantify the impact of reservoir uncertainty on hydraulic fracture propagation. The proposed method realizes the coupled modeling of the mechanical, seepage, and phase fields by embedding governing physical constraints into the loss function. Simultaneously, Bayesian inference is employed to effectively capture the output uncertainty distribution, thereby offering quantitative risk assessment metrics for fracture design. Numerical results demonstrate that, compared with the finite element solution of the phase field hydraulic fracturing model implemented in COMSOL, the B–PINN achieves phase field prediction errors within 8.7% and 12.3% in single- and double-fracture propagation scenarios, respectively. Additionally, the computational efficiency is enhanced by approximately 50% under GPU acceleration. This study provides a solution that is both theoretically rigorous and practically efficient, offering strong support for the robust optimization of hydraulic fracturing designs in the presence of complex geological uncertainties.

     

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